After week 12, can we tell how much more valuable a player was over an other?

Can we quantify the value of a player to a fantasy team?

In a 13 game fantasy season, a win is 0.077 to their winning percentage. The hypthothesis of this analysis is that when the player in this list plays, if he is 0.077 higher than a player ranked 14 places later, he will average one extra win over team selecting the player ranked 14 places later. So the differences in Winpct of all the players faced, that would be the predicted record for that team. The advantage of this analysis, is that it will include any value that a scarcity of a position will have (if any), whereas the previous ranking systems assess who is the best player at a position, relative to the top performer. That’s not saying a player is better than another, but given this year’s crop of performances, who was more valuable on a fantasy team this year. And here we list who were the most effective starters.

row Player Pos Team Year WinPct count
1 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL 2017 0.62 7
2 Antonio Brown WR PIT 2017 0.601 10
3 Todd Gurley RB LAR 2017 0.588 11
4 Le’Veon Bell RB PIT 2017 0.579 11
5 Travis Kelce TE KC 2017 0.572 10
6 Alvin Kamara RB NO 2017 0.57 11
7 Russell Wilson QB SEA 2017 0.565 11
8 Zach Ertz TE PHI 2017 0.564 10
9 T.Y. Hilton WR IND 2017 0.562 5
10 Stefon Diggs WR MIN 2017 0.561 5
11 Rob Gronkowski TE NE 2017 0.557 10
12 Baltimore Ravens DST Balti 2017 0.556 11
13 Mark Ingram RB NO 2017 0.553 11
14 Greg Zuerlein K LAR 2017 0.553 11
15 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 2017 0.551 8
16 Melvin Gordon RB LAC 2017 0.55 10
17 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 2017 0.548 11
18 Leonard Fournette RB JAC 2017 0.547 9
19 Kareem Hunt RB KC 2017 0.543 10
20 Jacksonville Jaguars DST Jacks 2017 0.541 11
21 Jimmy Graham TE SEA 2017 0.534 10
22 Tom Brady QB NE 2017 0.533 11
23 Stephen Gostkowski K NE 2017 0.528 11
24 Marvin Jones WR DET 2017 0.527 8
25 Carson Wentz QB PHI 2017 0.525 11
26 Golden Tate WR DET 2017 0.524 7
27 LeSean McCoy RB BUF 2017 0.523 11
28 Brandin Cooks WR NE 2017 0.522 8
29 Wil Lutz K NO 2017 0.521 11
30 Evan Engram TE NYG 2017 0.52 10
31 Carlos Hyde RB SF 2017 0.517 10
32 Julio Jones WR ATL 2017 0.517 10
33 Carolina Panthers DST Carol 2017 0.516 11
34 Chris Thompson RB WAS 2017 0.516 9
35 Harrison Butker K KC 2017 0.516 8
36 Minnesota Vikings DST Minne 2017 0.513 11
37 Cam Newton QB CAR 2017 0.513 11
38 Adam Thielen WR MIN 2017 0.513 11
39 Jack Doyle TE IND 2017 0.512 10
40 Pittsburgh Steelers DST Pitts 2017 0.512 11
41 Jarvis Landry WR MIA 2017 0.512 9
42 Kenny Stills WR MIA 2017 0.511 7
43 Kirk Cousins QB WAS 2017 0.511 11
44 Davante Adams WR GB 2017 0.511 9
45 Robby Anderson WR NYJ 2017 0.51 8
46 Matt Prater K DET 2017 0.507 11
47 Chris Hogan WR NE 2017 0.507 6
48 Seattle Seahawks DST Seatt 2017 0.505 11
49 Robert Woods WR LAR 2017 0.505 8
50 Doug Baldwin WR SEA 2017 0.505 8
51 Philadelphia Eagles DST Phila 2017 0.503 11
52 Alex Smith QB KC 2017 0.503 11
53 Jordan Howard RB CHI 2017 0.503 9
54 Keenan Allen WR LAC 2017 0.502 10
55 Michael Thomas WR NO 2017 0.501 9
56 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 2017 0.5 8
57 Duke Johnson RB CLE 2017 0.499 10
58 Christian McCaffrey RB CAR 2017 0.499 11
59 Matthew Stafford QB DET 2017 0.499 11
60 Alshon Jeffery WR PHI 2017 0.498 7
61 A.J. Green WR CIN 2017 0.498 10
62 Jake Elliott K PHI 2017 0.497 10
63 Jerick McKinnon RB MIN 2017 0.496 8
64 Michael Crabtree WR OAK 2017 0.496 8
65 Chris Boswell K PIT 2017 0.494 11
66 Amari Cooper WR OAK 2017 0.494 6
67 Matt Bryant K ATL 2017 0.494 11
68 Delanie Walker TE TEN 2017 0.493 11
69 Kai Forbath K MIN 2017 0.493 11
70 Ryan Succop K TEN 2017 0.491 11
71 Dak Prescott QB DAL 2017 0.491 11
72 Austin Ekeler RB LAC 2017 0.489 6
73 Graham Gano K CAR 2017 0.489 11
74 Jermaine Kearse WR NYJ 2017 0.489 6
75 Lamar Miller RB HOU 2017 0.488 11
76 Drew Brees QB NO 2017 0.487 11
77 Cleveland Browns DST Cleve 2017 0.486 11
78 Mike Evans WR TB 2017 0.486 9
79 Devin Funchess WR CAR 2017 0.485 8
80 Rex Burkhead RB NE 2017 0.484 6
81 Tyreek Hill WR KC 2017 0.484 9
82 New Orleans Saints DST New O 2017 0.484 11
83 Steve Hauschka K BUF 2017 0.483 11
84 Cincinnati Bengals DST Cinci 2017 0.483 11
85 Devonta Freeman RB ATL 2017 0.483 8
86 Kyle Rudolph TE MIN 2017 0.483 11
87 Los Angeles Rams DST Los A 2017 0.481 11
88 Marshawn Lynch RB OAK 2017 0.48 7
89 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR PIT 2017 0.479 7
90 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 2017 0.479 11
91 Josh McCown QB NYJ 2017 0.478 11
92 Jared Goff QB LAR 2017 0.478 11
93 Tevin Coleman RB ATL 2017 0.478 10
94 Philip Rivers QB LAC 2017 0.477 11
95 Jason Witten TE DAL 2017 0.476 10
96 James White RB NE 2017 0.475 8
97 Buffalo Bills DST Buffa 2017 0.474 11
98 Chicago Bears DST Chica 2017 0.474 11
99 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE NYJ 2017 0.474 9
100 Tarik Cohen RB CHI 2017 0.47 8
101 Chandler Catanzaro K NYJ 2017 0.47 11
102 Ted Ginn Jr. WR NO 2017 0.469 8
103 DeMarco Murray RB TEN 2017 0.468 10
104 Oakland Raiders DST Oakla 2017 0.468 11
105 Blair Walsh K SEA 2017 0.468 11
106 Javorius Allen RB BAL 2017 0.467 9
107 Dez Bryant WR DAL 2017 0.465 8
108 Rishard Matthews WR TEN 2017 0.462 8
109 Latavius Murray RB MIN 2017 0.462 7
110 Cameron Brate TE TB 2017 0.461 11
111 Cooper Kupp WR LAR 2017 0.458 8
112 Joe Mixon RB CIN 2017 0.458 10
113 Matt Ryan QB ATL 2017 0.458 11
114 Vernon Davis TE WAS 2017 0.457 10
115 Jared Cook TE OAK 2017 0.456 11
116 Marqise Lee WR JAC 2017 0.455 8
117 Nelson Agholor WR PHI 2017 0.453 8
118 Mohamed Sanu WR ATL 2017 0.452 8
119 Ben Watson TE BAL 2017 0.451 10
120 Paul Richardson WR SEA 2017 0.449 9
121 DeSean Jackson WR TB 2017 0.443 8
122 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 2017 0.443 9
123 Dion Lewis RB NE 2017 0.438 8
124 Frank Gore RB IND 2017 0.432 11
125 Ameer Abdullah RB DET 2017 0.424 11
126 Alex Collins RB BAL 2017 0.423 10

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