Fundamental Truths in a league where winning and losing is all important. Every extra point over the next guy is exponentially important in producing wins. And in fantasy, wins are what is important. Look at a graph of a player’s average points per game VS how many other players he’s outperformed every week. Over-supply vs.… Continue reading Position Shortage Report for Week 13

WinRank PointRank pos Player TotPt 1 3 RB Le’Veon Bell 246 2 2 RB Todd Gurley 251 3 5 WR DeAndre Hopkins 234 4 4 RB Alvin Kamara 238 5 8 WR Adam Thielen 192 6 1 WR Antonio Brown 260 7 6 RB Mark Ingram 204 8 19 RB Christian McCaffrey 167 9 10… Continue reading Past performance ranking for Flex for Week 13

WinRank PointRank pos Player TotPt WinPct 1 1 QB Russell Wilson 284 76.61 2 2 QB Carson Wentz 253 73.45 3 4 QB Tom Brady 244 69.82 4 3 QB Alex Smith 246 65.72 5 6 QB Kirk Cousins 238 64.45 6 5 QB Cam Newton 239 62.89 7 8 QB Matthew Stafford 219 61.3… Continue reading Past performance ranking by POS for Week 13

Week 13 Performance Proportional Ranking allows a view of the players according to the performance of the pack. If the pack has 20 players, then the ranks go from 1 to 20, but each player can have rank anywhere in between. Players that perform similarly according to the metric, with have closer ranks, ie. 2… Continue reading How did we do with our rankings for week 13

Effect of Defense from a player’s average for Week 12 There is obvious certain teams that have an effect on a player’s fantasy performance, or this statistic wouldn’t have such a trend. But the effect has a great deal of variation that the predictive value for a single game has limited utility. Plus the percentage… Continue reading Defensive handicap for week 12

How well did we quantify a player’s contribution to a fantasy team. Look for yourself. Monte Win Pct is the Winning Pct that we calculated for a player. We averaged it out here, bc the Distributive Law can be applied for our model. Hypothesis was if we took the differences of the winpct between the… Continue reading Week 12, fantasy stretch for owners

Can we quantify the value of a player to a fantasy team? In a 13 game fantasy season, a win is 0.077 to their winning percentage. The hypthothesis of this analysis is that when the player in this list plays, if he is 0.077 higher than a player ranked 14 places later, he will average… Continue reading After week 12, can we tell how much more valuable a player was over an other?

Who should’ve been drafted this year We know from the last post who played the most, and therefore should be ideal candidates for starting spots. But unlike the previous simulation, we know that there aren’t such a large universe of players, to do game simulations. Our universe in my league is limited by how many… Continue reading After week 12, the flex, the DMZ between starter and backup

How important is health to player’s value at draft time? This is extremely difficult to quantify. It largely depends on the cost of subsequently drafting his backup/handcuff versus having to draft a open starting spot. Can you wait after all your starting positions are filled, is that position so critical that you have to fill… Continue reading After week 12, who contributed for the entire season for their fantasy team’s success?